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International Journal of Food Microbiology

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match International Journal of Food Microbiology's content profile, based on 11 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.02% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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One Health genomics of Acinetobacter baumannii reveals sector-specific lineages and permeable ecological barriers

Plantade, J.; Escobar, C.; Godeux, A.-S.; Poire, L.; Andre, A.; Deromelaere, V.; Cassier, P.; Rasigade, J.-P.; Nazaret, S.; Coluzzi, C.; Venner, S.; Laaberki, M.-H.; Charpentier, X.

2026-04-11 infectious diseases 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350516 medRxiv
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Acinetobacter baumannii is a major cause of severe hospital-acquired infections, with a steadily increasing global prevalence driven by a few clinically adapted lineages. Animals and natural environments also harbor A. baumannii populations, but assessing their connections to clinical lineages is limited by sparse genomic data and a lack of integrated sampling. We conducted a local One Health genomic epidemiology study, sampling, isolating, sequencing, and characterizing several hundred A. baumannii isolates from clinical, animal, and environmental contexts. Within a geographically restricted area, we recovered several globally distributed clinical lineages (international clones, ICs), as well as livestock- and environment-associated lineages shared across Europe, highlighting widespread dissemination beyond clinical settings. Isolates closely related to the emerging clinical lineage IC11 were found in livestock, but no other clinically associated lineages were detected outside clinical contexts. Among these, the epidemic superlineage IC2 was identified in both human and veterinary clinical settings, indicating that similar practices in human and animal medicine select for closely related opportunistic pathogens. We found that hospitals host distinct, antibiotic-sensitive endemic populations capable of causing infection. These populations belong to a diversifying clade spanning clinical and environmental contexts and carry a high load of insertion sequences. Strong plasmid conservation further suggests frequent horizontal gene transfer across ecological compartments. Overall, A. baumannii comprises diverse, context-adapted lineages with a high potential for global spread. Although intercontext transmission appears limited, plasmids may overcome these ecological barriers. Our findings underscore the need for integrated One Health surveillance to better understand transmission pathways and limit the emergence of clinically adapted strains.

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WITHDRAWN: Detection of Measles Virus RNA in Wastewater: Monitoring for Wild-Type and Vaccine-Derived Strains in a National Preparedness Trial

Ahmed, W.; Gebrewold, M.; Verhagen, R.; Koh, M.; Gazeley, J.; Levy, A.; Simpson, S.; Nolan, M.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350527 medRxiv
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Wastewater surveillance (WWS) is established as a vital tool for monitoring polio and SARS-CoV-2 with potential to improve surveillance for many other infectious diseases. This study evaluated the feasibility of detecting measles virus (MeV) RNA in wastewater as part of a national WS preparedness trial in Brisbane, Australia, from March to June 2025. Composite and passive sampling methods were employed in parallel at three wastewater treatment plants serving populations between 230,000 and 584,000. Nucleic acids were extracted and analyzed using RT-qPCR targeting MeV N and M genes to distinguish wild-type and vaccine strains. MeV RNA were detected in both 24-hour composite and passive samples on May 26 to 27, 2025 from the largest catchment of 584,000 which also included an international airport. No measles cases were reported in this city or region within 4 weeks of the WS detections. These were confirmed as vaccine-derived measles virus (MeVV) strain via specific RT-qPCR assay. Extraction recoveries varied (11.5% to 70.5%), with passive sampling showing higher efficiency. This is the first report of use of passive samples for detection of MeV. These findings are consistent with other studies reporting WWS results of both MeVV genotype A and wild type genotype B and/or D. It demonstrates the potential for sensitive MeV WWS with rapid differentiation of MeVV from wild type MeV shedding, including in airport transport hubs and with different sample types. Use of WWS could strengthen measles surveillance by enabling rapid detection of MeV RNA and supporting outbreak preparedness and response. This requires optimised methods which are specific to or differentiate wild-type MeV from MeVV. Furthermore, the successful detection of MeV using passive sampling in this study highlights its potential for deployment in diverse global contexts which may include non-sewered settings.

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Bridging the Awareness Utilisation Gap in Reusable Menstrual Product Use Among Female Medical Students and Healthcare Professionals: A Cross-Sectional Study

Wami-Amadi, C. F.; Nonju, I. I.

2026-04-12 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350626 medRxiv
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Background: Reusable menstrual products provide sustainable and cost effective alternatives to disposable sanitary products; however, their adoption remains limited, even among healthcare professionals. Objectives: To assess awareness, knowledge, perceptions, and utilisation of reusable menstrual products among female medical students and healthcare professionals, and to identify predictors of willingness and use. Design: Cross sectional analytical study. Setting: An online survey was conducted among female medical students and healthcare professionals in Nigeria. Participants: A total of 203 female respondents aged 15 to 55 years. Intervention: Not applicable. Primary Outcome Measures: Utilisation of reusable menstrual products and willingness to adopt their use. Secondary Outcome Measures: Awareness, knowledge, perceptions, and barriers. Methods: Data were collected using a structured questionnaire and analysed using descriptive statistics, chi square tests, and logistic regression. Results: Awareness was high (96.06%), but utilisation was low, with 5.42% ever using and 4.43% currently using reusable products. About 31.53% were willing to use them. Respondent type was not associated with willingness (p = 0.735), although healthcare professionals had higher knowledge (p = 0.024). Positive perception predicted willingness (AOR = 7.58, 95% CI: 3.18 to 18.03, p < 0.001). Good knowledge (AOR = 14.96, p = 0.014) and increasing age (AOR = 1.28, p = 0.004) predicted utilisation. Conclusion: Despite high awareness, utilisation remains low. Perception influences willingness, while knowledge drives use. Targeted behavioural and educational interventions are needed. Keywords: Menstrual hygiene, reusable menstrual products, menstrual cup, sustainability, healthcare professionals

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Accumulation of Benzalkonium Chloride from Disinfectants in Dust Associated with Increased Microbial Tolerance

Yu, J.; Tillema, S.; Akel, M.; Aron, A.; Espinosa, E.; Fisher, S. A.; Branche, T. N.; Mithal, L. B.; Hartmann, E. M.

2026-04-16 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.14.26350823 medRxiv
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Benzalkonium chloride (BAC) is widely used as a disinfectant in cleaning products and is frequently detected in indoor dust. In this study, we assessed dust samples, along with information on cleaning product use, from 24 pregnant participants. Dust samples were analyzed for BAC concentration and microbial tolerance. Different chain lengths of BAC (C12, C14, and C16) were quantified using LC-MS/MS, and bacterial isolates were tested for BAC tolerance using minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) assays. BAC was ubiquitously detected, with C12 and C14 being dominant. Higher BAC concentrations were associated with reported disinfectant use and increased microbial tolerance. These findings suggest that indoor antimicrobial use may promote microbial resistance, highlighting potential exposure risks in indoor environments and the need for further investigation into health and ecological impacts.

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Wastewater detections of Bordetella pertussis and Mycobacterium tuberculosis nucleic acids in active disease outbreak sites in the USA

Paulos, A. P.; Zulli, A.; Duong, D.; Shelden, B.; White, B. J.; North, D.; Boehm, A. B.; Wolfe, M. K.

2026-04-11 public and global health 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350536 medRxiv
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Respiratory infections caused by bacterial pathogens like Mycobacterium tuberculosis and Bordetella pertussis have increased since the COVID 19 pandemic, yet clinical surveillance of both suffers from underreporting and delayed diagnoses. Wastewater monitoring is a valuable public health surveillance tool that can help fill gaps in clinical data yet has rarely been applied to respiratory bacterial pathogens despite evidence of bacterial shedding via excretion types that enter wastewater. In this study, we investigated the possibility for wastewater monitoring of two bacterial respiratory diseases, tuberculosis and pertussis, using two case studies of wastewater monitoring for M. tuberculosis and B. pertussis. We retrospectively measured concentrations of these pathogens in wastewater samples collected longitudinally from communities with and without known outbreaks of these diseases. We designed and validated a novel B. pertussis specific assay for the NAD(P) gene; B. pertussis nucleic acids were detected sporadically in wastewater during an identified outbreak. We used a highly specific, established assay for M. tuberculosis nucleic acids, and found low concentrations of the marker in wastewater that were lag-correlated with clinical incidence rates 5 weeks later. Findings support the potential of wastewater monitoring for M. tuberculosis and B. pertussis to enable identification of communities with outbreaks of tuberculosis and pertussis and provide early warning for tuberculosis.

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Effect of a sanitation intervention on the nutritional status of children in Maputo, Mozambique: a controlled before-and-after trial

Knee, J.; Sumner, T.; Adriano, Z.; Opondo, C.; Holcomb, D.; Viegas, E.; Nala, R.; Brown, J.; Cumming, O.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350506 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe rapid growth of the worlds urban population has contributed to the expansion of informal urban settlements in many cities across the world. In these settings, lack of safe sanitation combined with high population density and poverty contributes to heightened health risks for often vulnerable populations. The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect of a shared, onsite sanitation intervention on the nutritional status of children in Maputo, Mozambique. MethodsThe Maputo Sanitation (MapSan) trial was a controlled before-and-after study to evaluate the effect of a shared, onsite sanitation intervention on child health in Maputo, Mozambique. Here, we report the effects on childhood stunting, wasting and underweight, and height-for-age, weight-for-height and weight-for-age z-scores. Children were enrolled aged 1-48 months at baseline and outcomes were measured before and 12 and 24 months after the intervention, with concurrent measurement among children in a comparable control arm. The primary analysis was intention-to-treat. The trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02362932. ResultsWe enrolled 757 and 852 children in the intervention and control groups respectively. There was no evidence for an effect of the intervention on any outcome at 12 or 24 months of follow-up except for wasting where there was very weak evidence for an effect (adjusted prevalence ratio: 0.497; 95% CI: 0.22-1.11; p=0.09). In two exploratory analyses - one including only those children born into compounds post-intervention and a second excluding children in control compounds which had independently improved their sanitation facilities during follow-up - we found that stunting increased in the intervention group whilst wasting decreased. ConclusionsThis study contributes to the growing evidence on the role of sanitation in shaping child health outcomes in informal urban settlements. We found no evidence for an effect on stunting and weak evidence for an effect on wasting. More research is needed to understand how sanitation can reduce childhood undernutrition in complex urban environments.

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Understanding community knowledge, attitudes and practices related to participation in household transmission investigations during infectious disease outbreaks

Meagher, N.; Hettiarachchi, D.; Hawkins, M. R.; Tavlian, S.; Spirkoska, V.; McVernon, J.; Carville, K. S.; Price, D. J.; Villanueva Cabezas, J. P.; Marcato, A. J.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350464 medRxiv
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BackgroundThe World Health Organization has developed several global template protocols for epidemiological investigations, including for household transmission investigations (HHTIs). These investigations facilitate rapid characterisation of novel or re-emerging respiratory pathogens and support evidence-based public health actions. Beyond technical readiness, community buy-in is central to the feasibility and acceptability of HHTIs. Research is needed to determine the perceived legitimacy among the community to inform local protocol adaptation and development of implementation plans that consider community attitudes and needs. MethodsIn 2025, we conducted a convenience survey of community members living in Victoria, Australia to explore: their understanding of emerging respiratory diseases; their willingness to take part in public health surveillance activities such as HHTIs; the acceptability of clinical and epidemiological data collection and respiratory/blood sample collection as main components of HHTIs, and; participant comfort towards including their companion animals in HHTIs. ResultsWe received 282 survey responses, of which 235 were included in the analysis dataset. Compared to the general Victorian population, our participants included a higher proportion of participants who reported being female, tertiary-educated, of Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander heritage, born in Australia and speaking only English at home. Participants indicated overall high levels of comfort and acceptability towards participation in HHTIs, particularly in relation to clinical and epidemiological data collection, with lesser but still high levels of comfort with providing multiple respiratory specimens in a 14-day period. Participants were least comfortable with other specimens such as urine and blood. Involving companion animals in HHTIs was similarly acceptable as human-focused components. ConclusionsDespite our survey population being non-representative of the general Victorian population, our findings provide valuable descriptive insights into the acceptability of HHTIs in Victoria, Australia from which to benchmark future local and international surveys and community engagement activities.

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SARS-CoV-2 Introductions into Lao PDR Revealed by Genomic Surveillance, 2021-2024

Panapruksachat, S.; Troupin, C.; Souksavanh, M.; Keeratipusana, C.; Vongsouvath, M.; Vongphachanh, S.; Vongsouvath, M.; Phommasone, K.; Somlor, S.; Robinson, M. T.; Chookajorn, T.; Kochakarn, T.; Day, N. P.; Mayxay, M.; Letizia, A. G.; Dubot-Peres, A.; Ashley, E. A.; Buchy, P.; Xangsayarath, P.; Batty, E. M.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26349480 medRxiv
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We used 2492 whole genome sequences from Laos to investigate the molecular epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 from 2021 through 2024, covering the major waves of COVID-19 disease in Laos including time periods of travel restrictions and after relaxation of travel across international borders. We identify successive waves of COVID-19 caused by shifts in the dominant lineage, beginning with the Alpha variant in April 2021 and continuing through the Delta and Omicron variants. We quantify a shift from a small number of viral introductions responsible for widespread transmission in early waves to a larger number of introductions for each variant after travel restrictions were lifted, and identify potential routes of introduction into the country. Our study underscores the importance of genomic surveillance to public health responses to characterize viral transmission dynamics during pandemics.

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Time to diagnosis among children and adolescents with cancer in Quebec, Canada: a population-based study

Mullen, C.; Barr, R. D.; Strumpf, E.; El-Zein, M.; Franco, E. L.; Malagon, T.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.09.26350491 medRxiv
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BackgroundTimely cancer diagnosis in children and adolescents is critical to improving outcomes, yet substantial variation in diagnostic intervals persists across cancer types and care settings. We aimed to quantify time to diagnosis and assess variations by patient, demographic, and system-level factors. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective population-based study of children and adolescents aged 0-19 years diagnosed with one of 12 common cancers between 2010 and 2022 in Quebec, Canada. The diagnostic interval was defined as the time from first cancer-related healthcare encounter to diagnosis. We calculated medians and interquartile ranges (IQR) overall and by cancer type and used multivariable quantile regression to identify factors associated with time to diagnosis at the 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles. ResultsAmong 2,927 individuals with cancer, diagnostic intervals varied by cancer type and age. Median intervals were longest for carcinomas (100 days; IQR 33-192) and shortest for leukemias (8 days; IQR 3-44). Compared with children living in Montreal, living in regional areas and other large urban centres was associated with longer 50th and 75th percentiles of time to diagnosis for hepatic and central nervous system (CNS) tumours. Diagnostic intervals were shorter in the post-pandemic period (2020-2022) across several cancer sites, with CNS tumours showing reductions across all quantiles. InterpretationDiagnostic timeliness differed by cancer type, age, and rurality, but not by sex, material, or social deprivation. The shorter diagnostic intervals observed in the post-pandemic period suggest that pandemic-related changes in care pathways may have expedited diagnosis for some cancers.

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Frequency of bacterial STI testing amongst people accessing sexual health services in England, 2024: a cross-sectional analysis of national surveillance data

Baldry, G.; Harb, A.-K.; Findlater, L.; Ogaz, D.; Migchelsen, S. J.; Fifer, H.; Saunders, J.; Mohammed, H.; Sinka, K.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26349546 medRxiv
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ObjectivesWe determined the frequency of sexually transmitted infection (STI) testing among people accessing sexual health services (SHS) in England. MethodsWe assessed STI testing frequency in face-to-face and online SHSs in England using data from the GUMCAD STI surveillance system. We quantified different combinations of tests (e.g. single chlamydia test or full STI screen), number of tests completed in 2024 and test positivity by sociodemographic and behavioural characteristics, as well as clinical setting and outcomes. ResultsOverall, there were 2,222,028 attendances at SHS in England in 2024 that involved tests for chlamydia, gonorrhoea, syphilis and/or HIV. Most of these attendances involved tests for all four of these STIs. Most people accessing SHS in England tested once (80.1%), and a small minority (1.9%) tested at least quarterly (4+ times). Some groups had a comparably larger proportion of quarterly testers; these included gay, bisexual, and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM) (6.7%), London residents (3.6%), online testers (2.5%), people using HIV-PrEP (13%), and people with 5+ partners in the previous 3 months (10.6%). Only 10.5% of GBMSM reporting higher-risk sexual behaviours tested quarterly despite recommendations for quarterly testing in this group. ConclusionsThe majority of those who tested for STIs in England in 2024 only tested once. The minority who tested at least quarterly had a higher proportion of GBMSM, people using HIV-PrEP, London residents and people reporting higher risk behaviours. Quarterly testing often appears to be aligned with current testing recommendations in England; however, we also observed that only a low proportion of behaviourally high-risk GBMSM and HIV-PrEP users are meeting these recommendations. It is important to acknowledge groups with lower or higher testing frequency when developing interventions and updating guidelines related to STI testing. WHAT IS ALREADY KNOWN ON THIS TOPICThe effectiveness of asymptomatic testing for chlamydia and gonorrhoea in gay, bisexual and other men who have sex with men (GBMSM), and the potential impact of the consequent increased antibiotic use on rising antimicrobial resistance and individual harm has recently been questioned. Testing and treatment remains a key pillar of STI prevention and management; despite this, there is limited evidence of STI testing frequency within sexual services (SHS) on a national level. WHAT THIS STUDY ADDSThis analysis shows that the majority of people attending SHSs in England in 2024 tested once, and only a small proportion of behaviourally high-risk people tested frequently. HOW THIS STUDY MIGHT AFFECT RESEARCH, PRACTICE OR POLICYAwareness of groups that are behaviourally high risk but testing infrequently is important to guide interventions and messaging regarding STI testing. The low levels of frequent testing, even among those who would be recommended quarterly testing under UK guidelines, provides important context for wider discussion around asymptomatic STI screening.

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A multidomain intrinsic capacity score tracks longitudinal health trajectories in the UK Biobank

Zhai, T.; Babu, M.; Fuentealba, M.; Al Dajani, S.; Gladyshev, V. N.; Furman, D.; Snyder, M.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350621 medRxiv
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Quantitative measures for tracking functional health have generally been lacking. Intrinsic capacity (IC) has been proposed as an appropriate measure, but its metrics have been derived in small datasets and sparse longitudinal data. Using harmonized measures of cognition, locomotion, sensory function, vitality, and psychological well-being from 501,615 UK Biobank participants and followed for a median of 15.5 years, we derived domain-specific and composite IC scores. We examined associations with incident disease, cause-specific mortality, multimorbidity, lifestyle and socioeconomic factors, and multi-omic profiles from Olink proteomics, NMR metabolomics, clinical biochemistry, and blood-cell traits. We found that composite IC declined non-linearly with age, and within-person decline was steeper than the cross-sectional age measures. Participants with greater baseline morbidity, those who subsequently developed incident disease, and those who died earlier in follow-up showed lower IC trajectories across adulthood. The IC domains were only modestly correlated with one another, supporting multidimensionality, yet higher overall IC was associated with lower risk of most diseases examined. The dominant IC domain varied by endpoint, with cognition informative for dementia, sensory function for hearing loss, psychological capacity for depression, locomotion for osteoarthritis, and vitality for cardiometabolic outcomes. IC was also associated cross-sectionally with physical activity, insomnia, smoking, medication burden, and socioeconomic disadvantage. More proteins were found predictive for vitality, and enrichment converged on immune/inflammatory and metabolic pathways. Blood-based surrogates recapitulated part of the phenotypic signal, particularly for vitality. Overall, this IC framework captures longitudinal health trajectories and broad disease vulnerability in a large middle- to older-aged cohort and supports IC as a clinically meaningful, multidomain phenotype of aging and identifies blood-based correlates that may facilitate at-scale future monitoring of aging-related function declines.

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Non-genetic component of height as a surrogate marker for childhood socioeconomic position and its association with cardiovascular and brain health: results from HCHS/SOL

Moon, J.-Y.; Filigrana, P.; Gallo, L. C.; Perreira, K. M.; Cai, J.; Daviglus, M.; Fernandez-Rhodes, L. E.; Garcia-Bedoya, O.; Qi, Q.; Thyagarajan, B.; Tarraf, W.; Wang, T.; Kaplan, R.; Isasi, C. R.

2026-04-13 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350438 medRxiv
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Childhood socioeconomic position (SEP) can have lifelong effects on health. Many studies have used adult height as a surrogate marker for early-life conditions. In this study, we derived the non-genetic component of height, calculated as the residual from sex-specific standardized height regressed on genetically predicted height, as a surrogate for childhood SEP, using data from the Hispanic Community Healthy Study/Study of Latinos (2008-2011). A positive residual would indicate favorable early-life conditions promoting growth, while a negative residual indicates early-life adversity that may stunt the development. The height residual was associated with early-life variables such as parental education, year of birth, US nativity and age at first migration to the US (50 states/DC), supporting the validity of height residual as a surrogate for early-life conditions. Furthermore, a height residual was positively associated with better cardiovascular health (CVH) and cognitive function among middle-aged and older adults. Interestingly, among <35 years old, the height residual was negatively associated with the "Lifes Essential 8" clinical CVH scores. These results suggest the non-genetic component of height as a surrogate for childhood environment, with predictive value for CVH and cognitive function.

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Five-Domain Accelerometer-Derived Behavioral Exposome and Incident Cancer Risk in UK Biobank

Ni Chan Chin (Chengqin Ni), M.; Berrio, J. A.

2026-04-12 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350369 medRxiv
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BackgroundAccelerometer-derived behavioral phenotype captures multidimensional aspects of human behavior extending well beyond physical activity, encompassing light exposure, step counts, physical activity patterns, sleep, and circadian rhythms. Whether these five domains constitute a unified behavioral architecture underlying cancer risk and whether circadian organization and light exposure confer incremental predictive value beyond movement volume alone remains to be comprehensively established. MethodsWe conducted an accelerometer-wide association study (AWAS) encompassing the complete accelerometer-derived behavioral exposome across five behavioral domains in UK Biobank participants with valid wrist accelerometry data. Incident solid cancers were designated as the primary endpoint, with prespecified site-specific solid cancers and hematological malignancy as secondary outcomes. Cox proportional hazards models with age as the timescale were used. The minimal covariate set served as the primary reporting tier, followed by sensitivity analyses additionally adjusting for adiposity/metabolic factors, independent activity patterns, shift work history, and accelerometry measurement quality. Nominal statistical significance was defined as two-sided P < 0.05 ResultsAmong 89,080 participants, 6,598 incident solid cancer events were observed over a median follow-up of 8.39 years. In the minimally adjusted model, the pan-solid-tumor association atlas was dominated by signals from activity volume, inactivity fragmentation, and circadian rhythm. Higher overall acceleration (HR per SD: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.89-0.94) and higher daily step counts (HR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.90-0.95) were independently associated with reduced solid cancer risk, while inactivity fragmentation metrics were consistently linked to higher risk. Notably, circadian rhythms, most prominently cosinor mesor (Midline Estimating Statistic of Rhythm under cosinor model), emerged as leading inverse risk signals, underscoring the independent contribution of circadian behavioral architecture. Site-specific analyses revealed pronounced heterogeneity across tumor sites. Lung cancer exhibited a robust inverse activity-risk gradient, while breast cancer showed reproducible associations with MVPA. Most strikingly, nocturnal light exposure demonstrated a tumor-site-specific association confined to pancreatic cancer, a signal absent across all other sites examined. Associations for uterine cancer were predominantly inactivity-related and substantially attenuated following adjustment for adiposity and metabolic factors. ConclusionsAcross five accelerometer-derived behavioral domains, solid cancers as a whole were most consistently associated with a high-movement, low-fragmentation, and circadian-coherent behavioral profile. While site-specific heterogeneity exists, the broad cancer risk landscape is dominated by movement volume, inactivity fragmentation, and circadian rhythmicity. Light exposure, although more localized in its contribution, demonstrates a potentially novel and specific association with pancreatic cancer risk. These findings support a five-domain behavioral exposome framework for cancer epidemiology and, importantly, position circadian rhythm integrity and nocturnal light exposure as critically understudied dimensions warranting dedicated mechanistic investigation.

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Dengue risk perception and public preferences for vector control in Italy and France: utility and regret-based choice experiments

Andrei, F.; Tizzoni, M.; Veltri, G. A.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26350604 medRxiv
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Background: Dengue is rapidly emerging in parts of Europe. How households value vector control attributes, and whether inferences depend on decision models or message framing, is unclear. Methods: We conducted a split-ballot online experiment among adults in Italy and France, as well as a hotspot subsample from Marche, Italy. National samples included 1,505 respondents in Italy and 1,501 in France; 183 respondents were recruited in Marche. Participants were randomised to a discrete choice experiment (random utility maximisation) or a regret-based choice experiment (random regret minimisation) and to one of three pre-task messages (control, loss aversion, community values). Each respondent completed 12 choice tasks comparing two dengue control programmes and an opt-out. We estimated mixed logit and mixed random-regret models with random parameters and treatment effects. Results: Across frameworks, nearby cases and high mosquito prevalence were the dominant drivers of programme uptake, whereas cost and operational burden were secondary. In pooled analyses, loss-aversion messaging increased the weight on high mosquito prevalence in both models (from 0.483 to 0.547 in the utility model; from 0.478 to 0.557 in the regret model). Cost effects were small nationally but larger in the hotspot subsample. Conclusions: Risk salience dominates preferences for dengue vector control in these European settings. Random utility and random regret models yield consistent rankings of attributes but differ in behavioural interpretation and some secondary effects; messaging effects were modest and context dependent.

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Prevalence and Factors Associated with Family-Based HIV Index Case Testing in Wolaita Zone, Southern Ethiopia, 2023: A Cross-Sectional Study

Koyra, A. B.; Mohammed, F.; Eshete, T.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350444 medRxiv
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BackgroundFamily-based HIV index case testing identifies family members with unknown HIV status and links them to care. Data are limited in southern Ethiopia. MethodsA facility-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 377 adults on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Wolaita Zone, Southern Ethiopia, from November 2022 to May 2023. Participants were selected using systematic random sampling. Data were collected via interviewer-administered semi-structured questionnaire. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors associated with index case family testing. Adjusted odds ratios (AOR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated, and statistical significance was declared at p < 0.05. ResultsThe proportion of index case family testing for HIV was 84.9% (95% CI: 81.2- 88.6). In multivariable analysis, urban residence (AOR = 2.8; 95% CI: 1.16-6.75), duration on ART greater than 12 months (AOR = 13.0; 95% CI: 4.6-36.9), disclosure of HIV status to family members (AOR = 5.6; 95% CI: 1.9-16.5), discussion of HIV status with family members (AOR = 6.6; 95% CI: 1.9-23.2), and being counselled by health professionals to bring families for testing (AOR = 6.3; 95% CI: 2.1-19.0) were significantly associated with index case family testing. ConclusionThe prevalence of family-based HIV index case testing in Wolaita Zone was 84.9%, below the national 95% target. Health professionals should strengthen counselling on ART adherence, status disclosure, family discussion, and active referral to improve testing uptake among family members of people living with HIV.

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Planned egg freezing over 15 years: return to treatment and success rates in Australia and New Zealand

Fitzgerald, O.; Keller, E.; Illingworth, P.; Lieberman, D.; Peate, M.; Kotevski, D.; Paul, R.; Rodino, I.; Parle, A.; Hammarberg, K.; Copp, T.; Chambers, G. M.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350362 medRxiv
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Study questionWhat are the characteristics and treatment outcomes of women who undertook planned egg freezing (PEF) in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023? Summary answerThere has been an average yearly increase in the uptake of PEF of 35%, with most women undergoing a single PEF procedure in their mid-thirties. Given ten years follow-up a little over one in four women return, with nearly half of those using donor sperm and one-third achieving a live birth. What is known alreadyPEF, where women freeze their eggs as a strategy to preserve fertility, has increased dramatically in high income countries in the last decade. Despite the rapid uptake of PEF, there remains limited information to guide women, clinicians and policy makers regarding the characteristics of women undertaking this procedure and treatment outcomes. Study design, size, durationA retrospective population-based cohort study of all women who undertook PEF in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023, including their subsequent return to thaw their eggs and treatment outcomes. Where women returned to utilise their eggs, all subsequent embryo transfer procedures were linked enabling calculation of live birth rates per woman. Participants/materials, setting, methods20,209 women who undertook PEF in Australia and New Zealand between 2009 and 2023 including 1,657 women who returned to thaw their eggs. Main results and the role of chanceThere has been a huge increase in uptake of PEF, from 55 women in 2009 to 4,919 in 2023. Women who freeze their eggs are typically aged 34-38 years (interquartile range) and nulliparous (98.6%). For women with at least 10 years follow-up (i.e. undertook PEF in 2009-13; N=514), 27.9% returned and thawed their frozen eggs (average time to return: 4.9 years). This reduced to 22.1% in those with at least 5 years follow-up (i.e. undertook PEF in 2009-2018; N=4,288). Of those who used their frozen eggs, 47% used donor sperm. After at least two years follow up, 33.9% had a live birth, rising over time to 37.8% for eggs thawed between 2019-2021. Limitations, reasons for cautionIn the timeframe 2009-2019 we did not have information on whether egg freezing occurred because of a cancer diagnosis, a cohort we wished to exclude from the study. As a result, for this timeframe we weighted observations by the probability that egg freezing occurred due to cancer, with the prediction model developed on the years 2020-2023. Wider implications of the findingsThis study provides recent and comprehensive data on PEF to guide prospective patients and clinicians and inform policy. The exponential growth in PEF in Australia and New Zealand mirrors trends in other high-income countries, suggesting a doubling time of 2-3 years. Study findings highlight the need for setting realistic expectations about the likelihood of returning to use frozen eggs and live birth rates. Study funding/competing interest(s)2020-2025 MRFF Emerging Priorities and Consumer Driven Research initiative: EPCD000014

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Childhood cancer in singletons conceived via medically assisted reproduction in Australia: a population-based cohort study

Walker, A. R.; Vajdic, C. M.; Anazodo, A. C.; Hacker, N. F.; Opdahl, S.; Chapman, M.; Sansom-Daly, U. M.; Jorm, L.; Norman, R. J.; Stern, C.; Chambers, G. M.; Venetis, C.

2026-04-11 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.04.08.26350447 medRxiv
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1.Study questionDo singletons conceived by medically assisted reproduction (MAR) experience an elevated incidence of childhood cancers and are they at a greater risk of such cancers compared to naturally-conceived singletons? Summary answerWe found no strong evidence the adjusted risk of childhood cancers is increased for MAR-conceived singletons. What is known alreadyThere is longstanding concern children conceived via MAR may be at increased risk of childhood cancer. Current epidemiological evidence does not support such a relationship. Study design, size, durationWe conducted a retrospective population-based cohort study of 5,104,121 singletons born in Australia between 1991 and 2019. Median follow-up time varied from 4 to 10 years depending on mode of conception. Participants/materials, setting, methodsWe linked birth records to public medical insurance data of the mother to ascertain MAR conception. We classified treatment as ovulation induction/intrauterine insemination (OI/IUI) or assisted reproductive technology (ART; IVF/ICSI), with ART coded as either fresh embryo transfer or frozen embryo transfer. The cohort included 4,924,354 naturally-conceived singletons and 179,767 singletons conceived via MAR. We calculated standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) to ascertain differences in population incidence of childhood cancer, and generated hazard ratios (HRs) using flexible parametric survival models controlling for key confounders. We report absolute incidence and risk differences for both statistical approaches. Main results and the role of chanceThere was no increase in the incidence or risk of all childhood cancers combined for singletons conceived via MAR, either any MAR or specific MAR types. There was some evidence the incidence of leukemias, myeloproliferative diseases, and myelodysplastic diseases was increased after ART compared to the general population (SIR: 1.32, 95% CI 1.02-1.68; equating to 2.09, 95% CI 0.13-4.44 extra cancers per 100,000 person-years), but no increased risk after adjusting for available confounders (HR: 1.04, 95% CI 0.73-1.46). These cancers showed increased incidence and risk for those conceived via IVF (SIR: 1.54, 95% CI 1.01-2.26; HR: 1.77, 95% CI 1.06-2.95), but not ICSI (SIR: 1.27, 95% CI 0.83-1.85; HR: 0.76, 95% CI 0.48-1.22). Incidence of renal tumours was elevated after IVF (SIR: 2.37, 95% CI 1.02-4.67; equating to 1.83, 95% CI 0.03-3.99 extra cancers per 100,000 person-years) and frozen transfer ART (SIR: 2.52, 95% CI 1.09-4.97; equating to 2.12, 95%CI 0.12-5.53 extra cancers per 100,000 person-years), however risk was not elevated after adjusting for available confounders (HR: 1.06, 95% CI 0.47-2.38; and HR: 1.63, 95% CI 0.73-3.61 respectively). Limitations, reasons for cautionWe did not have information on parental cause of infertility, which could be a confounder for childhood cancer, although we did adjust for parental history of cancer. For many specific cancer types, fewer than 50 cases were observed in total. Given the number of comparisons reported and closeness of the lower-bound confidence interval to 1, we cannot exclude that a significant association between conception via IVF and leukemias, myeloproliferative diseases, and myelodysplastic diseases reflects a type I error. Wider implications of the findingsOur findings align generally with published meta-analyses on the risk of childhood cancers following MAR conception and reinforce the need for very large studies to increase confidence. Parents who have conceived via MAR and their offspring can be reassured there is not strong evidence the treatments increase the overall incidence or risk of childhood cancer. Study funding/competing interest(s)This work was funded by the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC: APP1164852). Dr ARW declares that their involvement in this work was supported by employment at UNSW Sydney. Prof CMV declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852). Prof NH declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852); royalties and licenses for Berek and Hackets Gynecologic Oncology (Walters Kluwer); royalties and licenses for Hacker and Moores Essentials of Obstetrics and Gynecology (Elsevier); consulting fees from Darwin Hospital and Gold Coast University Hospital; support for attending the British Gynaecological Cancer Society meeting in Aberdeen, UK, Jun 2023; support for attending the Symposium on Gynaecological Cancer in Budapest, Hungary, Nov 2023; support for attending the International conference of the Rajiv Gandhi Cancer Centre in Delhi, India, Mar 2025; and membership of the Medical Advisory Committee for TruScreen (Australia and New Zealand). A/Prof SO declares that they received payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852); they received a grant from the European Society for Human Reproduction and Embryology (Open call 2022) including payment to their institution; and that they are a member of the Advisory Board of the Cervical Screening Program in Norway through The Norwegian Institute of Public Health (NIPH), for which they were reimbursed travel expenses to their institution. Prof MC declares support for Theramex European Society for Human Reproduction and Embryology registration and Fertility Society of Australia and New Zealand registration and accommodation. A/Prof USD declares that her involvement in this work was supported via an Early Career Fellowship from the Cancer Institute NSW (ID: 2020/ECF1163) and employment at UNSW Sydney. A/Prof USD also declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP2035240) and the Medical Research Future Fund (APP2032214; APP2038377), and the Australian Research Council (DP240100072) as well as current grants from NSW Health, Prince of Wales Hospital Foundation, and unpaid involvement as an Associate Editor for the "Journal of Psycho-Oncology Research and Practice". Prof LJ declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852). Prof RJN declares they are the Chair of the Clinical Advisory Committee, Westmead Fertility; External mentor at VinMec hospital; Editorial Editor at the journal "Fertility and Sterility"; and has received funding from the National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) for the NHMRC Centre for Research Excellence in Womens Health in Reproductive Life (CRE WHiRL). A/Prof CS declares stock or stock options associated with CSL Ltd, Sigma Healthcare Ltd, Resmed Inc, Medical Developments International Ltd, Vitrafy Life Sciences Ltd, Intuitive Surgical, and Steris PLC. Prof GMC declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852). Prof CV declares payment to their institution from the National Health and Medical Research Council (APP1164852); research grants receive from Merck KGaA and Ferring; payments for honoraria from Merk Ltd, Merk Sharpe & Dohme, Ferring, Organon, Gedeon-Richter for being an invited lecturer in scientific meetings/conferences on multiple occasions as well as member of advisory boards for these companies who have a commercial portfolio in the field of assisted reproduction technology (ART); and speaking fees from IBSA, Vianex, Sonapharm; travel support for their participation in scientific meetings/conferences both nationally and internationally, usually as an invited speaker for the following companies - Merck Ltd, Merck Sharpe & Dohme, Ferring, Organon, Gedeon-Richter; unpaid involvement as a Board member of the Hellenic Society of Fertility and Sterility, Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "Human Reproduction", Senior Deputy of the Coordination Committee of the Special Interest Group "Reproductive Endocrinology" of the European Society for Human Reproduction and Embryology, Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "F&S Reviews", Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "RBM Online", Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "Reproductive Biology & Endocrinology", Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "Frontiers in Endocrinology", and Member of the Editorial Board of the journal "Reproductive Sciences". SubjectReproductive epidemiology

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VAE (Variational Autoencoder) Based Gastrotype Identification and Predictive Diagnosis of Helicobacter pylori Infection

Ma, Z.; Qiao, Y.

2026-04-13 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.04.11.26350690 medRxiv
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Background: The enterotype concept proposed that gut microbiomes cluster into discrete types, but subsequent critiques demonstrated that such clustering depends on methodological choices, that the number of clusters is not fixed, and that faecal samples cannot capture spatial heterogeneity along the gastrointestinal tract. The stomach remains particularly understudied, and no systematic classification exists for gastric microbial community types. Methods: We assembled a multi-cohort dataset of 566 gastric mucosal samples spanning healthy controls to gastric cancer, with both Helicobacter pylori (HP)-negative and HP-positive individuals. Critically, we applied the key methodological lessons of the enterotype debate: we used a variational autoencoder (VAE) for dimensionality reduction to learn a continuous latent representation without forcing discrete structure, determined the optimal number of clusters using the Silhouette index (an absolute validation measure) across K=2 to K=10 rather than arbitrarily selecting a cluster number, and performed transparent evaluation of multiple clustering solutions. This VAE-plus-silhouette workflow directly addresses the critiques leveled against the original enterotype analysis. Results: Four gastotypes were identified, with K=4 achieving the highest mean silhouette score, indicating good cluster cohesion and separation. Two gastotypes (Variovorax-type and Trabulsiella-type) were significantly enriched in HP-positive samples, while two gastotypes (Bacteroides-type and Streptococcus-type) were significantly enriched in HP-negative samples. Random Forest and Gradient Boosting achieved excellent baseline performance for predicting HP infection (AUC = 0.990 and 0.993). Conclusions: The VAE-plus-silhouette workflow provides a robust, data-driven approach for identifying gastotypes without forcing discrete structure or arbitrarily fixing cluster numbers. Using this framework, we identified four gastotypes with significantly different HP infection rates. Variovorax-type and Trabulsiella-type showed strong HP-positive enrichment, while Bacteroides-type and Streptococcus-type showed strong HP-negative enrichment. These findings demonstrate that methodological advances from the enterotype controversy can be successfully transferred to the stomach, offering a reproducible taxonomy for stratifying HP infection status with potential clinical utility.

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A Multi-Cohort Study of Immunoglobulin G Glycans in Newly Diagnosed Inflammatory Bowel Disease Patients Reveals Accelerated Biological Aging

Flevaris, K.; Trbojevic-Akmacic, I.; Goh, D.; Lalli, J. S.; Vuckovic, F.; Capin Vilaj, M.; Stambuk, J.; Kristic, J.; Mijakovac, A.; Ventham, N.; Kalla, R.; Latiano, A.; Manetti, N.; Li, D.; McGovern, D. P. B.; Kennedy, N. A.; Annese, V.; Lauc, G.; Satsangi, J.; Kontoravdi, C.

2026-04-11 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.04.10.26349930 medRxiv
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Background and Aims: Alterations in immunoglobulin G (IgG) N-glycosylation are implicated in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD); however, the robustness of IgG glycan signatures across IBD cohorts with diverse demographics and geographic origins remains underexplored. We aimed to determine whether compositional data analysis (CoDA) and machine learning (ML) can identify IBD-related IgG N-glycan signatures and whether these signatures capture disease-associated acceleration of biological aging. Methods: We analyzed the IgG glycome profiles of 1,367 plasma samples collected from healthy controls (HC), symptomatic controls (SC), and people with newly diagnosed Crohn's (CD), and ulcerative colitis (UC) across four cohorts (UK, Italy, United States, and Netherlands). IgG glycosylation was analyzed by ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography, yielding 24 total-area-normalized glycan peaks (GPs). Analyses were performed using cross-sectional data obtained at baseline. CoDA-powered association analyses were used to identify disease-related effects on GPs while controlling for demographic covariates. ML models were trained and evaluated to assess generalizability to unseen cohorts and demographic subgroups, with a focus on discrimination and reliability. Results: Across all cohorts, people with IBD demonstrated accelerated biological aging as quantified by the GlycanAge index. This was accompanied by consistent reductions in IgG galactosylation, with effects partially modulated by age. Classification models trained on glycomics and demographics achieved robust discrimination (AUROC~0.80) between non-IBD (HC+SC) and IBD across cohorts. Conclusion: These findings reveal accelerated biological aging in people with IBD and support the translational potential of IgG glycans as biomarkers and a novel route toward clinically interpretable personalized risk estimates.

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Artificial Intelligence-Driven Identification of Age- and Treatment-Specific TP53 and PI3K Alterations in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma

Diaz, F. C.; Waldrup, B.; Carranza, F. G.; Manjarrez, S.; Velazquez-Villarreal, E.

2026-04-11 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.04.07.26350355 medRxiv
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BackgroundDespite extensive characterization of key oncogenic drivers, pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) continues to exhibit profound molecular heterogeneity and inconsistent responses to standard therapies, including gemcitabine. The role of pathway-level alterations, particularly in the context of age at onset and therapeutic exposure, remains insufficiently defined. MethodsIn this study, we leveraged a conversational artificial intelligence framework (AI-HOPE-TP53 and AI-HOPE-PI3K) to enable precision oncology, driven interrogation of clinical and genomic data from 184 PDAC tumors, stratified by age at diagnosis and gemcitabine exposure. Using AI-enabled cohort construction and pathway-centric analyses, we evaluated alterations in TP53 and PI3K signaling networks, with findings validated through conventional statistical methods. ResultsTP53 pathway analysis revealed a significantly higher frequency of TP53 mutations in early-onset compared to late-onset PDAC among gemcitabine-treated patients (86.7% vs. 57.1%, p = 0.04), with a similar trend observed between treated and untreated early-onset cases (86.7% vs. 40%, p = 0.07). Notably, in late-onset PDAC patients not treated with gemcitabine, absence of TP53 pathway alterations was associated with improved overall survival (p = 0.011). Complementary analyses of the PI3K pathway demonstrated a higher prevalence of pathway alterations in late-onset gemcitabine-treated tumors compared to untreated counterparts (13.2% vs. 2.7%, p = 0.02). Importantly, among late-onset patients not receiving gemcitabine, those without PI3K pathway alterations exhibited significantly improved overall survival (p < 0.0001). ConclusionTogether, these findings identify distinct TP53 and PI3K pathway dependencies that are modulated by both age-of-onset and treatment exposure in PDAC. This work highlights the utility of conversational artificial intelligence in enabling rapid, integrative, and hypothesis-generating analyses within a precision oncology framework, supporting the identification of clinically relevant molecular stratification strategies for this aggressive disease.